Home · Working notes · Exploratory notes · About
The Mental Meter is an exploratory framework for calibrating judgment against reality.
Rather than asking whether a decision ultimately succeeds, it asks whether the expectations that justified the decision were sufficiently accountable to reality before action was taken.
The framework focuses on expectation fidelity, self-correction, and the continuous calibration of judgment under uncertainty.
The notes are intentionally versioned.
Each version represents a stable stage in the development of the framework.
Earlier versions are not deprecated unless explicitly stated.
They remain citable as historical development of the framework.
v0.3v0.2 (2026-04-23)
Stronger distinction between intelligence and calibration, explicit intersubjective verification, predictive accuracy emphasized as the primary hard test, self-correction speed introduced, and stronger formalization of the Calibration Quality Standard.
→ v0.2
v0.1 (2026-04-19)
Initial formulation of the Mental Meter as a calibration framework for judgment, expectation fidelity, and strategic reality.
→ v0.1
The Mental Meter addresses the structural calibration of judgment.
It evaluates whether expectations regarding goals, means, costs, time horizons, and expected outcomes are sufficiently aligned with reality before action is taken.
The framework currently focuses on:
Future notes are expected to expand the framework toward: